Minnesota State Legislature
2026 Election Forecast
2026 Election Forecast
| District | Candidates | Margin | Win Prob | Rating | Inc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Data | Candidates TBD | R+nan | 99% R | Safe R | - |
| 1A | Candidates TBD | R+25.2 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 1B | Candidates TBD | R+17.8 | 93% R | Likely R | R |
| 2A | Candidates TBD | R+9.8 | 80% R | Likely R | R |
| 2B | Candidates TBD | R+14.7 | 92% R | Likely R | R |
| 3A | Candidates TBD | D+9.3 | 77% D | Lean D | R |
| 3B | Candidates TBD | D+8.4 | 78% D | Lean D | R |
| 4A | Candidates TBD | D+12.9 | 92% D | Likely D | D |
| 4B | Candidates TBD | D+2.9 | 59% D | Tossup | R |
| 5A | Candidates TBD | R+9.2 | 76% R | Lean R | R |
| 5B | Candidates TBD | R+9.5 | 78% R | Lean R | R |
| 6A | Candidates TBD | D+6.7 | 70% D | Lean D | R |
| 6B | Candidates TBD | D+5.6 | 68% D | Lean D | R |
| 7A | Candidates TBD | D+11.1 | 81% D | Likely D | R |
| 7B | Candidates TBD | D+11.8 | 83% D | Likely D | R |
| 8A | Candidates TBD | D+5.0 | 66% D | Lean D | D |
| 8B | Candidates TBD | D+8.1 | 74% D | Lean D | D |
| 9A | Candidates TBD | R+21.3 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 9B | Candidates TBD | R+21.4 | 96% R | Safe R | R |
| 10A | Candidates TBD | R+12.9 | 85% R | Likely R | R |
| 10B | Candidates TBD | R+19.4 | 94% R | Likely R | R |
| 11A | Candidates TBD | D+8.8 | 77% D | Lean D | R |
| 11B | Candidates TBD | R+14.6 | 89% R | Likely R | R |
| 12A | Candidates TBD | R+16.0 | 90% R | Likely R | R |
| 12B | Candidates TBD | R+25.8 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 13A | Candidates TBD | R+20.7 | 96% R | Safe R | R |
| 13B | Candidates TBD | R+20.8 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 14A | Candidates TBD | R+8.5 | 85% R | Likely R | R |
| 14B | Candidates TBD | D+9.1 | 84% D | Likely D | D |
| 15A | Candidates TBD | R+19.3 | 95% R | Safe R | R |
| 15B | Candidates TBD | R+21.8 | 97% R | Safe R | R |
| 16A | Candidates TBD | R+21.0 | 97% R | Safe R | R |
| 16B | Candidates TBD | R+23.0 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 17A | Candidates TBD | R+15.2 | 89% R | Likely R | R |
| 17B | Candidates TBD | R+15.1 | 89% R | Likely R | R |
| 18A | Candidates TBD | R+13.8 | 86% R | Likely R | R |
| 18B | Candidates TBD | R+2.7 | 58% R | Tossup | D |
| 19A | Candidates TBD | R+6.3 | 70% R | Lean R | R |
| 19B | Candidates TBD | D+2.6 | 58% D | Tossup | R |
| 20A | Candidates TBD | R+15.3 | 93% R | Likely R | R |
| 20B | Candidates TBD | R+2.6 | 58% R | Tossup | R |
| 21A | Candidates TBD | R+14.9 | 89% R | Likely R | R |
| 21B | Candidates TBD | R+18.8 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 22A | Candidates TBD | R+22.3 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 22B | Candidates TBD | R+22.0 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 23A | Candidates TBD | R+18.5 | 97% R | Safe R | R |
| 23B | Candidates TBD | R+15.3 | 93% R | Likely R | R |
| 24A | Candidates TBD | R+13.3 | 91% R | Likely R | R |
| 24B | Candidates TBD | D+8.1 | 74% D | Lean D | D |
| 25A | Candidates TBD | D+7.3 | 74% D | Lean D | D |
| 25B | Candidates TBD | D+13.1 | 91% D | Likely D | D |
| 26A | Candidates TBD | D+11.8 | 86% D | Likely D | D |
| 26B | Candidates TBD | R+11.6 | 88% R | Likely R | R |
| 27A | Candidates TBD | R+15.1 | 89% R | Likely R | R |
| 27B | Candidates TBD | R+6.2 | 69% R | Lean R | R |
| 28A | Candidates TBD | D+1.0 | 54% D | Tossup | R |
| 28B | Candidates TBD | R+13.7 | 92% R | Likely R | R |
| 29A | Candidates TBD | R+23.0 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 29B | Candidates TBD | R+16.5 | 95% R | Likely R | R |
| 30A | Candidates TBD | R+19.9 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 30B | Candidates TBD | R+20.4 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 31A | Candidates TBD | R+19.7 | 96% R | Safe R | R |
| 31B | Candidates TBD | R+20.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 32A | Candidates TBD | R+14.5 | 92% R | Likely R | R |
| 32B | Candidates TBD | D+4.0 | 65% D | Lean D | D |
| 33A | Candidates TBD | R+15.2 | 93% R | Likely R | R |
| 33B | Candidates TBD | D+6.4 | 72% D | Lean D | D |
| 34A | Candidates TBD | R+12.7 | 89% R | Likely R | R |
| 34B | Candidates TBD | D+10.3 | 80% D | Lean D | D |
| 35A | Candidates TBD | D+1.6 | 56% D | Tossup | D |
| 35B | Candidates TBD | R+1.5 | 55% R | Tossup | D |
| 36A | Candidates TBD | R+6.6 | 75% R | Lean R | R |
| 36B | Candidates TBD | D+10.9 | 87% D | Likely D | D |
| 37A | Candidates TBD | D+0.2 | 51% D | Tossup | R |
| 37B | Candidates TBD | D+7.7 | 79% D | Lean D | D |
| 38A | Candidates TBD | D+5.0 | 66% D | Lean D | D |
| 38B | Candidates TBD | D+11.1 | 81% D | Likely D | D |
| 39A | Candidates TBD | D+8.2 | 75% D | Lean D | D |
| 39B | Candidates TBD | D+10.8 | 80% D | Likely D | D |
| 40A | Candidates TBD | D+22.2 | 98% D | Safe D | D |
| 40B | Candidates TBD | D+22.9 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 41A | Candidates TBD | D+9.1 | 79% D | Lean D | R |
| 41B | Candidates TBD | D+10.6 | 80% D | Lean D | R |
| 42A | Candidates TBD | D+10.4 | 86% D | Likely D | D |
| 42B | Candidates TBD | D+12.8 | 91% D | Likely D | D |
| 43A | Candidates TBD | D+11.9 | 86% D | Likely D | D |
| 43B | Candidates TBD | D+16.7 | 93% D | Likely D | D |
| 44A | Candidates TBD | D+10.9 | 81% D | Likely D | D |
| 44B | Candidates TBD | D+11.8 | 89% D | Likely D | D |
| 45A | Candidates TBD | D+8.4 | 76% D | Lean D | R |
| 45B | Candidates TBD | D+21.4 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 46A | Candidates TBD | D+22.7 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 46B | Candidates TBD | D+24.3 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 47A | Candidates TBD | R+2.9 | 59% R | Tossup | D |
| 47B | Candidates TBD | D+8.4 | 77% D | Lean D | D |
| 48A | Candidates TBD | R+0.6 | 52% R | Tossup | R |
| 48B | Candidates TBD | D+5.1 | 67% D | Lean D | D |
| 49A | Candidates TBD | D+11.2 | 86% D | Likely D | D |
| 49B | Candidates TBD | D+11.3 | 89% D | Likely D | D |
| 50A | Candidates TBD | D+19.9 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 50B | Candidates TBD | D+15.8 | 95% D | Likely D | D |
| 51A | Candidates TBD | D+16.6 | 91% D | Likely D | D |
| 51B | Candidates TBD | D+12.1 | 88% D | Likely D | D |
| 52A | Candidates TBD | D+16.3 | 97% D | Safe D | D |
| 52B | Candidates TBD | D+12.8 | 88% D | Likely D | D |
| 53A | Candidates TBD | D+11.8 | 93% D | Likely D | D |
| 53B | Candidates TBD | D+9.3 | 79% D | Lean D | D |
| 54A | Candidates TBD | D+8.9 | 83% D | Likely D | D |
| 54B | Candidates TBD | R+11.6 | 89% R | Likely R | R |
| 55A | Candidates TBD | D+7.2 | 76% D | Lean D | D |
| 55B | Candidates TBD | R+0.1 | 50% R | Tossup | D |
| 56A | Candidates TBD | D+9.7 | 80% D | Lean D | D |
| 56B | Candidates TBD | D+8.4 | 81% D | Likely D | D |
| 57A | Candidates TBD | R+6.5 | 70% R | Lean R | R |
| 57B | Candidates TBD | R+5.0 | 70% R | Lean R | R |
| 58A | Candidates TBD | D+3.9 | 65% D | Lean D | D |
| 58B | Candidates TBD | R+16.3 | 97% R | Safe R | R |
| 59A | Candidates TBD | D+37.1 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 59B | Candidates TBD | D+33.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 60A | Candidates TBD | D+38.1 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 60B | Candidates TBD | D+34.9 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 61A | Candidates TBD | D+35.8 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 61B | Candidates TBD | D+37.3 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 62A | Candidates TBD | D+43.4 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 62B | Candidates TBD | D+43.2 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 63A | Candidates TBD | D+41.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 63B | Candidates TBD | D+32.7 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 64A | Candidates TBD | D+36.2 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 64B | Candidates TBD | D+31.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 65A | Candidates TBD | D+37.2 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 65B | Candidates TBD | D+32.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 66A | Candidates TBD | D+27.3 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 66B | Candidates TBD | D+32.6 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 67A | Candidates TBD | D+28.4 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 67B | Candidates TBD | D+28.7 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| District | Candidates | Margin | Win Prob | Rating | Inc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Candidates TBD | R+10.9 | 81% R | Likely R | R |
| 2 | Candidates TBD | R+10.8 | 81% R | Likely R | R |
| 3 | Candidates TBD | D+11.9 | 86% D | Likely D | D |
| 4 | Candidates TBD | D+8.6 | 87% D | Likely D | D |
| 5 | Candidates TBD | R+11.9 | 83% R | Likely R | R |
| 6 | Candidates TBD | D+8.9 | 76% D | Lean D | R |
| 7 | Candidates TBD | D+11.7 | 83% D | Likely D | R |
| 8 | Candidates TBD | D+5.3 | 67% D | Lean D | D |
| 9 | Candidates TBD | R+21.4 | 96% R | Safe R | R |
| 10 | Candidates TBD | R+18.7 | 94% R | Likely R | R |
| 11 | Candidates TBD | R+1.1 | 53% R | Tossup | R |
| 12 | Candidates TBD | R+23.0 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 13 | Candidates TBD | R+20.3 | 97% R | Safe R | R |
| 14 | Candidates TBD | D+6.6 | 79% D | Lean D | D |
| 15 | Candidates TBD | R+21.9 | 97% R | Safe R | R |
| 16 | Candidates TBD | R+17.4 | 92% R | Likely R | R |
| 17 | Candidates TBD | R+14.0 | 86% R | Likely R | R |
| 18 | Candidates TBD | R+4.3 | 64% R | Lean R | D |
| 19 | Candidates TBD | D+1.1 | 53% D | Tossup | R |
| 20 | Candidates TBD | R+9.7 | 83% R | Likely R | R |
| 21 | Candidates TBD | R+8.1 | 76% R | Lean R | R |
| 22 | Candidates TBD | R+19.3 | 94% R | Likely R | R |
| 23 | Candidates TBD | R+19.7 | 97% R | Safe R | R |
| 24 | Candidates TBD | R+11.0 | 83% R | Likely R | R |
| 25 | Candidates TBD | D+7.7 | 74% D | Lean D | D |
| 26 | Candidates TBD | R+10.3 | 86% R | Likely R | R |
| 27 | Candidates TBD | R+2.1 | 57% R | Tossup | R |
| 28 | Candidates TBD | R+15.8 | 94% R | Likely R | R |
| 29 | Candidates TBD | R+20.6 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 30 | Candidates TBD | R+21.3 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 31 | Candidates TBD | R+19.7 | 97% R | Safe R | R |
| 32 | Candidates TBD | R+11.9 | 86% R | Likely R | R |
| 33 | Candidates TBD | R+11.8 | 87% R | Likely R | R |
| 34 | Candidates TBD | D+5.5 | 68% D | Lean D | D |
| 35 | Candidates TBD | R+12.8 | 85% R | Likely R | R |
| 36 | Candidates TBD | D+8.6 | 85% D | Likely D | D |
| 37 | Candidates TBD | R+2.0 | 59% R | Tossup | R |
| 38 | Candidates TBD | D+9.9 | 79% D | Lean D | D |
| 39 | Candidates TBD | D+9.6 | 78% D | Lean D | D |
| 40 | Candidates TBD | D+21.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 41 | Candidates TBD | D+14.2 | 89% D | Likely D | D |
| 42 | Candidates TBD | D+10.5 | 90% D | Likely D | D |
| 43 | Candidates TBD | D+14.7 | 98% D | Safe D | D |
| 44 | Candidates TBD | D+10.7 | 86% D | Likely D | D |
| 45 | Candidates TBD | D+14.9 | 90% D | Likely D | D |
| 46 | Candidates TBD | D+23.3 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 47 | Candidates TBD | R+0.9 | 52% R | Tossup | D |
| 48 | Candidates TBD | R+1.0 | 54% R | Tossup | R |
| 49 | Candidates TBD | D+11.8 | 87% D | Likely D | D |
| 50 | Candidates TBD | D+16.0 | 96% D | Safe D | D |
| 51 | Candidates TBD | D+13.5 | 86% D | Likely D | D |
| 52 | Candidates TBD | D+14.2 | 96% D | Safe D | D |
| 53 | Candidates TBD | D+9.2 | 84% D | Likely D | D |
| 54 | Candidates TBD | D+3.9 | 62% D | Lean D | R |
| 55 | Candidates TBD | R+0.9 | 53% R | Tossup | D |
| 56 | Candidates TBD | D+8.4 | 79% D | Lean D | D |
| 57 | Candidates TBD | D+0.1 | 50% D | Tossup | R |
| 58 | Candidates TBD | R+8.4 | 82% R | Likely R | R |
| 59 | Candidates TBD | D+34.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 60 | Candidates TBD | D+37.1 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 61 | Candidates TBD | D+36.3 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 62 | Candidates TBD | D+42.4 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 63 | Candidates TBD | D+35.9 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 64 | Candidates TBD | D+34.4 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 65 | Candidates TBD | D+34.2 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 66 | Candidates TBD | D+30.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 67 | Candidates TBD | D+27.1 | 99% D | Safe D | D |