Ohio State Legislature
2026 Election Forecast
2026 Election Forecast
| District | Candidates | Margin | Win Prob | Rating | Inc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dontavius Jarrells (Uncontested) | D+45.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 2 | Charity Martin King (Uncontested) | D+45.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 3 | Ismail Mohamed vs Bernadine Kennedy Kent | D+37.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 4 | Beryl Brown Piccolantonio (Uncontested) | D+45.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 5 | Richard Cole (Uncontested) | R+45.0 | 99% R | Safe R | D |
| 6 | Christine Cockley vs Matthew Jackson | D+16.7 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 7 | Ukeme Awakessien Jeter vs William Mercier | D+25.8 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 8 | Anita Somani vs Kelly Hunter-Kalagidis | D+20.9 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 9 | Munira Abdullahi vs Bruce Euans | D+23.9 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 10 | Mark Sigrist vs Denise D'Angelo Steele | D+10.4 | 94% D | Likely D | D |
| 11 | Crystal Lett vs Shawn Kaeser | D+10.6 | 94% D | Likely D | D |
| 12 | Lee Yarsky vs Brian Stewart | R+24.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 13 | Tristan Rader vs Billy Fronimo | D+32.9 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 14 | Sean Brennan vs David Morgan | D+14.5 | 98% D | Safe D | D |
| 15 | Chris Glassburn vs Daniel Conway | D+11.8 | 96% D | Safe D | D |
| 16 | Scott DiMauro vs Sophia Tjotjos | D+17.1 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 17 | Megan Coy vs Mike Dovilla | R+5.4 | 79% R | Lean R | R |
| 18 | Davida Russell vs Maureen Lynn | D+45.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 19 | Nicole Sigurdson vs Ed Hargate | D+13.4 | 98% D | Safe D | D |
| 20 | Eugene Miller vs Donna Walker-Brown | D+41.8 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 21 | Eric Synenberg vs Tina Barhams | D+35.6 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 22 | Darnell Brewer (Uncontested) | D+45.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 23 | Dan Troy (Uncontested) | D+45.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 24 | Dani Isaacsohn (Uncontested) | D+45.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 25 | Cecil Thomas (Uncontested) | D+45.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 26 | Ashley Bryant Bailey vs Tom Brinkman Jr. | D+25.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 27 | Rachel Baker vs Nancy Aichholz | D+12.3 | 97% D | Safe D | D |
| 28 | Karen Brownlee vs Jill Cole | D+12.4 | 97% D | Safe D | D |
| 29 | Jonathan Bradner vs Cindy Abrams | R+8.8 | 90% R | Likely R | R |
| 30 | Caleb Price vs Mike Odioso | R+20.3 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 31 | J. Noah Spinner vs Mike Kahoe | R+2.9 | 67% R | Lean R | R |
| 32 | Djordjije Popovic vs Jack K. Daniels | R+8.8 | 91% R | Likely R | R |
| 33 | Veronica Sims vs Napoleon Rodgers Jr. | D+28.7 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 34 | Derrick Hall vs Craig Shubert | D+11.2 | 95% D | Safe D | D |
| 35 | Samantha Salamon vs Vik Sandhu | R+2.2 | 63% R | Lean R | R |
| 36 | Rose Lounsbury vs Andrea White | R+1.9 | 61% R | Lean R | R |
| 37 | Tom Herner vs Tom Young | R+8.7 | 90% R | Likely R | R |
| 38 | Desiree Tims (Uncontested) | D+45.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 39 | Daquan Neal vs Mark Campbell | R+10.4 | 94% R | Likely R | R |
| 40 | Timothy Hornbacker vs Rodney Creech | R+28.7 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 41 | Erika White vs Ian Chamberlin | D+17.4 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 42 | Elgin Rogers Jr. vs Robert McMahon | D+22.4 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 43 | Michele Grim vs David Karmol | D+16.7 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 44 | David J. Fournier vs Edward L. Schimmel | R+9.3 | 92% R | Likely R | R |
| 45 | Jayson Ameer Rasheed vs Jennifer Gross | R+13.5 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 46 | Benjamin McCall vs Thomas Hall | R+17.9 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 47 | Jordan Haire vs Diane Mullins | R+13.2 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 48 | Nick Morris vs Christina Hagan | R+20.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 49 | Krista Allison vs Jim Thomas | R+2.0 | 61% R | Lean R | R |
| 50 | Rylan Finzer vs Matthew Kishman | R+18.2 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 51 | Amanda Fontana vs Jodi Salvo | R+24.1 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 52 | Mike Baker vs Cliff Winkel | R+8.8 | 90% R | Likely R | R |
| 53 | Matt Lundy vs Bradley Lacko | D+12.7 | 97% D | Safe D | D |
| 54 | Brenda Buchanan vs Kellie Deeter | R+17.1 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 55 | Paul Kurtz vs C. Michelle Teska | R+24.1 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 56 | Laalitya Acharya vs Adam Mathews | R+14.2 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 57 | Rick Walker vs Jesse Styles | R+14.2 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 58 | John Boccieri vs Heather Fronk | D+14.4 | 98% D | Safe D | D |
| 59 | Wayne Penny Jr. vs Tex Fischer | R+8.7 | 90% R | Likely R | R |
| 60 | Shelby Kimball vs Brian Lorenz | R+4.9 | 77% R | Lean R | R |
| 61 | Vince McGrail vs Shawn Stevens | R+13.4 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 62 | Ian Schwartz vs Jean Schmidt | R+15.1 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 63 | Debbie Davidson vs Adam Bird | R+27.1 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 64 | Nick Santucci (Uncontested) | R+45.0 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 65 | John Barbo vs David Thomas | R+14.3 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 66 | Chris Nardo vs Sean Hutson | R+17.0 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 67 | Heather Sample vs Melanie Miller | R+19.9 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 68 | Mason Blankenship vs Thaddeus Claggett | R+10.5 | 94% R | Likely R | R |
| 69 | Amy Rigsby vs Kevin Miller | R+28.4 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 70 | Kim McCarthy vs Brian Lampton | R+13.1 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 71 | Krista Magaw vs Levi Dean | R+22.0 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 72 | Jeff Clapper vs Heidi Workman | R+10.3 | 94% R | Likely R | R |
| 73 | Whittney Wood vs Jeff LaRe | R+12.6 | 97% R | Safe R | R |
| 74 | Darrell Jackson vs Bernard Willis | R+15.8 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 75 | Richard Rettig vs Haraz Ghanbari | R+11.0 | 95% R | Likely R | R |
| 76 | Colton Stidam vs Marilyn John | R+23.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 77 | Brooke Dillon vs Meredith Craig | R+20.9 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 78 | Jeffrey R. Givan vs Matt Huffman | R+25.2 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 79 | Bob Guy vs Monica Robb Blasdel | R+26.2 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 80 | Katie Koehler Wagner vs Johnathan Newman | R+26.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 81 | David Swanson vs Patti Rockey | R+28.6 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 82 | Maddux McCray vs Roy Klopfenstein | R+31.0 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 83 | Sheila Coressel vs Ty Mathews | R+26.7 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 84 | Arienne Childrey vs Angela King | R+35.9 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 85 | Victoria Maddox vs Tim Barhorst | R+31.7 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 86 | Kent Halloran vs Benjamin Weber | R+20.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 87 | Lora Covrett vs Jeffrey McClain | R+28.1 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 88 | Aaron Jones vs Gary Click | R+18.2 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 89 | Easton Retzke vs D.J. Swearingen | R+10.3 | 94% R | Likely R | R |
| 90 | Collin Docterman vs Justin Pizzulli | R+28.4 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 91 | Amy Wright vs Bob Peterson | R+31.3 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 92 | Sarah Senff vs Mark Johnson | R+23.2 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 93 | Jessica Harper vs Jason Stephens | R+27.2 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 94 | Wenda Sheard vs Kevin Ritter | R+21.0 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 95 | Paul Cameron vs Ty Moore | R+18.9 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 96 | Charrie L. Foglio vs Ron Ferguson | R+21.9 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 97 | Adam Holmes (Uncontested) | R+45.0 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 98 | Scott Grund vs Mark Hiner | R+27.1 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 99 | Louis Murphy vs Sarah Fowler | R+16.1 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
All 33 seats in district order — greyed rows are held over to 2028 (current senator shown, not forecast). The ratings bar and projection above cover the 17 seats up in 2026.
| District | Candidates | Margin | Win Prob | Rating | Inc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Craig Riedel (Uncontested) | R+45.0 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 2 | Theresa Gavarone | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 3 | Stacie Baker vs Michele Reynolds | D+18.5 | 99% D | Safe D | R |
| 4 | George Lang | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 5 | Jeffrey Harris vs Phil Plummer | R+22.3 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 6 | Willis E Blackshear Jr | Held — not up until 2028 | Dem | ||
| 7 | Cara Jacob vs Zac Haines | R+19.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 8 | Louis W Blessing Iii | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 9 | Catherine Ingram vs Linda Matthews | D+30.8 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 10 | Kyle Koehler | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 11 | Paula Hicks-Hudson vs James Nowak | D+26.1 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 12 | Susan Manchester | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 13 | Joe Miller vs Gayle L. Manning | R+7.6 | 87% R | Likely R | R |
| 14 | Terry A Johnson | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 15 | Latyna Humphrey vs Joseph Healy | D+42.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 16 | Beth Liston | Held — not up until 2028 | Dem | ||
| 17 | Brian Deer vs Shane Wilkin | R+34.7 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 18 | Jerry Cirino | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 19 | Scott Charland vs Ryan Rivers | R+14.1 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 20 | Tim Schaffer | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 21 | Kent Smith vs Mikhail Alterman | D+41.3 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 22 | Mark Romanchuk | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 23 | Bride Rose Sweeney vs Robert Dintaman | D+36.6 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 24 | Thomas F Patton | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 25 | William DeMora vs Don Roberts | D+22.7 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 26 | Bill Reineke | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 27 | Mike Roberto vs Steve Demetriou | R+2.9 | 66% R | Lean R | R |
| 28 | Casey Weinstein | Held — not up until 2028 | Dem | ||
| 29 | Thomas West vs Jane Timken | R+15.1 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 30 | Brian M Chavez | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 31 | Laura Sirot vs Al Landis | R+29.9 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 32 | Sandra O'Brien | Held — not up until 2028 | Rep | ||
| 33 | Michael Kripchak vs Alessandro Cutrona | R+10.0 | 93% R | Likely R | R |