📅 Preview Mode: This forecast reflects structural baselines only. Live polling data and active forecast updates begin Late August 2026. Model methodology and historical context are fully functional.

Wisconsin State Legislature

2026 Election Forecast

Updated 2026-03-17
Evers: +5 (open seat)
Safe D
Likely D
Lean D
Tilt D
Tossup
Tilt R
Lean R
Likely R
Safe R

State Assembly

38 Expected D
6 Tossup
61 Expected R
19 7 5 6 10 27 25
District Candidates Margin Win Prob Rating Inc
1 Candidates TBD R+14.4 97% R Safe R R
2 Candidates TBD R+13.6 95% R Safe R R
3 Candidates TBD R+13.5 93% R Likely R R
4 Candidates TBD R+11.7 87% R Likely R R
5 Candidates TBD R+14.9 97% R Safe R R
6 Candidates TBD R+21.5 99% R Safe R R
7 Candidates TBD D+15.1 97% D Safe D D
8 Candidates TBD D+37.4 99% D Safe D D
9 Candidates TBD D+26.4 99% D Safe D D
10 Candidates TBD D+42.5 99% D Safe D D
11 Candidates TBD D+42.5 99% D Safe D D
12 Candidates TBD D+34.4 99% D Safe D D
13 Candidates TBD D+6.2 71% D Lean D D
14 Candidates TBD R+2.9 59% R Tossup D
15 Candidates TBD R+10.2 90% R Likely R R
16 Candidates TBD D+42.5 99% D Safe D D
17 Candidates TBD D+39.6 99% D Safe D D
18 Candidates TBD D+38.0 99% D Safe D D
19 Candidates TBD D+34.5 99% D Safe D D
20 Candidates TBD D+19.0 98% D Safe D D
21 Candidates TBD R+6.8 78% R Lean R R
22 Candidates TBD R+15.1 95% R Likely R R
23 Candidates TBD D+13.4 86% D Likely D D
24 Candidates TBD R+10.8 88% R Likely R R
25 Candidates TBD R+15.8 98% R Safe R R
26 Candidates TBD R+9.3 81% R Likely R R
27 Candidates TBD R+15.8 95% R Likely R R
28 Candidates TBD R+15.7 96% R Safe R R
29 Candidates TBD R+13.3 93% R Likely R R
30 Candidates TBD R+8.7 85% R Likely R R
31 Candidates TBD R+13.8 94% R Likely R R
32 Candidates TBD R+15.9 96% R Safe R R
33 Candidates TBD R+12.9 87% R Likely R R
34 Candidates TBD R+15.6 98% R Safe R R
35 Candidates TBD R+18.3 99% R Safe R R
36 Candidates TBD R+22.3 99% R Safe R R
37 Candidates TBD R+14.6 90% R Likely R R
38 Candidates TBD R+15.2 93% R Likely R R
39 Candidates TBD R+19.6 99% R Safe R R
40 Candidates TBD R+0.0 50% R Tossup D
41 Candidates TBD R+16.0 99% R Safe R R
42 Candidates TBD R+6.8 73% R Lean R R
43 Candidates TBD D+1.1 54% D Tossup D
44 Candidates TBD D+14.8 94% D Likely D D
45 Candidates TBD D+11.3 82% D Likely D D
46 Candidates TBD D+4.0 63% D Lean D D
47 Candidates TBD D+35.5 99% D Safe D D
48 Candidates TBD D+23.0 97% D Safe D D
49 Candidates TBD R+13.2 94% R Likely R R
50 Candidates TBD R+11.2 82% R Likely R R
51 Candidates TBD R+3.9 68% R Lean R R
52 Candidates TBD R+9.6 78% R Lean R R
53 Candidates TBD R+8.7 76% R Lean R R
54 Candidates TBD D+8.4 87% D Likely D D
55 Candidates TBD R+10.4 88% R Likely R R
56 Candidates TBD R+14.8 95% R Safe R R
57 Candidates TBD R+17.4 92% R Likely R R
58 Candidates TBD R+23.8 99% R Safe R R
59 Candidates TBD R+28.2 99% R Safe R R
60 Candidates TBD R+16.1 97% R Safe R R
61 Candidates TBD R+13.6 89% R Likely R R
62 Candidates TBD R+10.6 86% R Likely R R
63 Candidates TBD R+22.4 97% R Safe R R
64 Candidates TBD D+11.3 94% D Likely D D
65 Candidates TBD D+1.8 56% D Tossup D
66 Candidates TBD D+9.6 78% D Lean D D
67 Candidates TBD R+17.1 98% R Safe R R
68 Candidates TBD R+14.8 90% R Likely R R
69 Candidates TBD R+22.1 97% R Safe R R
70 Candidates TBD R+17.1 98% R Safe R R
71 Candidates TBD D+10.3 88% D Likely D D
72 Candidates TBD R+12.7 92% R Likely R R
73 Candidates TBD D+9.2 79% D Lean D D
74 Candidates TBD R+3.7 62% R Lean R R
75 Candidates TBD R+16.4 97% R Safe R R
76 Candidates TBD D+38.6 99% D Safe D D
77 Candidates TBD D+40.5 99% D Safe D D
78 Candidates TBD D+37.7 99% D Safe D D
79 Candidates TBD D+24.6 98% D Safe D D
80 Candidates TBD D+26.8 99% D Safe D D
81 Candidates TBD D+14.8 98% D Safe D D
82 Candidates TBD R+9.6 92% R Likely R R
83 Candidates TBD R+18.0 95% R Likely R R
84 Candidates TBD R+12.6 85% R Likely R R
85 Candidates TBD R+6.6 81% R Likely R R
86 Candidates TBD R+16.4 97% R Safe R R
87 Candidates TBD R+20.3 99% R Safe R R
88 Candidates TBD R+7.6 78% R Lean R R
89 Candidates TBD R+15.0 89% R Likely R R
90 Candidates TBD D+0.2 51% D Tossup D
91 Candidates TBD D+4.5 65% D Lean D D
92 Candidates TBD R+7.8 78% R Lean R R
93 Candidates TBD R+6.5 72% R Lean R R
94 Candidates TBD D+8.9 82% D Likely D D
95 Candidates TBD D+2.8 58% D Tossup D
96 Candidates TBD R+6.6 74% R Lean R R
97 Candidates TBD R+23.5 97% R Safe R R
98 Candidates TBD R+17.6 92% R Likely R R
99 Candidates TBD R+22.1 96% R Safe R R

State Senate

7 Expected D
0 Tossup
10 Expected R
3 2 6 4 2
District Candidates Margin Win Prob Rating Inc
1 Candidates TBD R+8.2 82% R Likely R R
3 Candidates TBD D+25.6 98% D Safe D D
5 Candidates TBD R+2.7 64% R Lean R R
7 Candidates TBD D+23.0 99% D Safe D D
9 Candidates TBD R+9.6 79% R Lean R R
11 Candidates TBD R+9.4 78% R Lean R R
13 Candidates TBD R+10.4 80% R Likely R R
15 Candidates TBD D+18.0 93% D Likely D D
17 Candidates TBD R+8.2 81% R Likely R R
19 Candidates TBD R+4.5 74% R Lean R R
21 Candidates TBD R+9.0 77% R Lean R R
23 Candidates TBD R+10.5 80% R Likely R R
25 Candidates TBD R+2.8 61% R Lean R R
27 Candidates TBD D+23.2 99% D Safe D D
29 Candidates TBD R+15.2 98% R Safe R R
31 Candidates TBD D+8.0 84% D Likely D D
33 Candidates TBD R+47.0 99% R Safe R R
Election forecasts by loontracks.com
© 2026 Loon Tracks. Generated 2026-03-17 15:40.