Wisconsin State Legislature
2026 Election Forecast
2026 Election Forecast
| District | Candidates | Margin | Win Prob | Rating | Inc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renee Paplham vs Joel Kitchens | R+10.1 | 82% R | Likely R | R |
| 2 | Alicia Saunders vs Shae Sortwell | R+12.5 | 87% R | Likely R | R |
| 3 | Michael Goodwin vs Ron Tusler | R+13.8 | 90% R | Likely R | R |
| 4 | Alexia Unertl vs David Steffen | R+15.8 | 92% R | Likely R | R |
| 5 | Justin Schumacher vs Joy Goeben | R+12.0 | 86% R | Likely R | R |
| 6 | Shirley Hinze vs Elijah Behnke | R+16.2 | 93% R | Likely R | R |
| 7 | Karen Kirsch vs Lee Whiting | D+17.0 | 93% D | Likely D | D |
| 8 | Sylvia Ortiz-Velez vs Angel Sanchez | D+32.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 9 | Priscilla Prado vs Samuel Guerrero | D+28.8 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 10 | Darrin Madison Jr. vs Brent Steeno | D+42.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 11 | Sequanna Taylor vs Shandowlyon Hendricks Reaves | D+42.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 12 | Russell Goodwin (Uncontested) | D+42.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 13 | David Sanchez vs Mike Morgan | D+15.7 | 92% D | Likely D | D |
| 14 | Angelito Tenorio vs AmyRose Murphy | D+1.9 | 57% D | Tossup | D |
| 15 | Stephen Tryon vs Adam Neylon | R+7.9 | 77% R | Lean R | R |
| 16 | Kalan Haywood vs Alciro Deacon | D+42.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 17 | Supreme Moore Omokunde vs Charlene Abughrin | D+42.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 18 | Margaret Arney vs Joel Richmond | D+40.8 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 19 | Ryan Clancy vs Yasmine Outlaw | D+39.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 20 | Christine Sinicki vs Kyle Cleary | D+19.5 | 96% D | Safe D | D |
| 21 | Dan Bukiewicz vs Dylan Pfaffenbach | D+1.8 | 56% D | Tossup | R |
| 22 | Dana Glasstein vs Paul Melotik | R+6.4 | 72% R | Lean R | R |
| 23 | Deb Andraca vs Aleaner Pabonnie | D+21.0 | 97% D | Safe D | D |
| 24 | Matt Brown vs Daniel Knodl | R+9.1 | 79% R | Lean R | R |
| 25 | Christopher Able vs Paul Tittl | R+11.3 | 85% R | Likely R | R |
| 26 | Joe Sheehan vs John Belanger | D+9.9 | 80% D | Likely D | D |
| 27 | Lindee Brill (Uncontested) | R+47.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 28 | Robin Lillesve vs Rob Kreibich | R+15.6 | 92% R | Likely R | R |
| 29 | Chris Danou vs Treig Pronschinske | R+14.4 | 90% R | Likely R | R |
| 30 | Kevin Knoke vs Shannon Zimmerman | R+1.6 | 56% R | Tossup | R |
| 31 | John Perryman vs Tyler August | R+12.8 | 88% R | Likely R | R |
| 32 | Greg Miller vs Amanda Nedweski | R+17.5 | 94% R | Likely R | R |
| 33 | Rick Bailey vs Rick Stacey | R+15.3 | 92% R | Likely R | R |
| 34 | Merlin Van Buren vs Rob Swearingen | R+13.4 | 89% R | Likely R | R |
| 35 | Elizabeth McCrank vs Calvin Callahan | R+17.1 | 94% R | Likely R | R |
| 36 | Jeffrey Mursau (Uncontested) | R+47.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 37 | LaToya Bates vs Mark Born | R+17.7 | 95% R | Likely R | R |
| 38 | Terri Wenkman vs William Penterman | R+15.5 | 92% R | Likely R | R |
| 39 | Michael Skivington vs Alex Dallman | R+19.4 | 96% R | Safe R | R |
| 40 | Karen DeSanto vs Julie Helmer | D+13.5 | 88% D | Likely D | D |
| 41 | Zach Commons vs Tony Kurtz | R+12.1 | 86% R | Likely R | R |
| 42 | Maureen McCarville vs Keith Miller | D+13.8 | 89% D | Likely D | D |
| 43 | Brienne Brown vs Paul McGraw | R+0.1 | 51% R | Tossup | D |
| 44 | Ann Roe vs Ron Woodman | D+14.8 | 90% D | Likely D | D |
| 45 | Clinton Anderson vs Jocelyn Jordan | D+12.0 | 85% D | Likely D | D |
| 46 | Joan Fitzgerald vs John Donohue | R+1.0 | 54% R | Tossup | D |
| 47 | Randy Udell vs Sandy Bakk | D+30.4 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 48 | Andrew Hysell vs Mark Kjorlie | D+25.8 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 49 | John Rindy vs Travis Tranel | R+11.7 | 86% R | Likely R | R |
| 50 | Bryna Caves vs Jon Aleckson | D+12.5 | 86% D | Likely D | D |
| 51 | Ben Gruber vs Todd Novak | D+2.0 | 57% D | Tossup | R |
| 52 | Lee Snodgrass vs Reive Pullen | D+15.6 | 92% D | Likely D | D |
| 53 | Becky Nichols vs David Daniels | D+2.4 | 58% D | Tossup | R |
| 54 | Lori Palmeri vs Tim Paterson | D+11.0 | 84% D | Likely D | D |
| 55 | Alex Corrigan vs Nate Gustafson | R+9.6 | 81% R | Likely R | R |
| 56 | Grace Abitz vs Anthony Phillips | R+13.4 | 89% R | Likely R | R |
| 57 | Joey Marschall vs Ed Delgado | R+29.7 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 58 | Dennis Degenhardt vs Chris Bossert | R+20.9 | 97% R | Safe R | R |
| 59 | Jack Holzman vs Bradley Petersen | R+25.3 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 60 | Marty Ryan (Uncontested) | R+47.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 61 | Brian Bock vs Robert Donovan | D+1.7 | 56% D | Tossup | R |
| 62 | Angelina Cruz vs Mike Bellagio | D+19.6 | 96% D | Safe D | D |
| 63 | Eddie Phanichkul vs Robert Wittke | R+5.5 | 69% R | Lean R | R |
| 64 | Tip McGuire vs Ed Hibsch | D+14.1 | 89% D | Likely D | D |
| 65 | Ben DeSmidt vs Valerie Kretchmer | D+0.5 | 51% D | Tossup | D |
| 66 | Greta Neubauer vs Gina Cefalu Paulick | D+12.4 | 86% D | Likely D | D |
| 67 | Indiana Thompson vs David Armstrong | R+16.4 | 93% R | Likely R | R |
| 68 | Elisha King vs Rob Summerfield | R+22.8 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 69 | Roger Halls vs Karen Hurd | R+24.1 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 70 | Stephanie Stuve Bodeen vs Nancy VanderMeer | R+14.6 | 91% R | Likely R | R |
| 71 | Vinnie Miresse vs Jeff Disher | D+11.6 | 84% D | Likely D | D |
| 72 | Christine Maltese vs Scott Krug | R+13.4 | 89% R | Likely R | R |
| 73 | Angela Stroud vs Frank Kostka | D+16.8 | 93% D | Likely D | D |
| 74 | Paul Johnson vs Chanz Green | R+12.0 | 86% R | Likely R | R |
| 75 | Keith Mogel vs Duke Tucker | R+16.1 | 93% R | Likely R | R |
| 76 | Isaia Ben-Ami vs Nina Chat | D+42.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 77 | Renuka Mayadev vs Jane McCormick | D+41.4 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 78 | Shelia Stubbs vs Henry Johnson | D+39.8 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 79 | Lisa Subeck vs John Fons | D+42.5 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 80 | Mike Bare vs Simran Arora | D+31.9 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 81 | Alex Joers vs Mark Maier | D+28.1 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 82 | Enrique Camacho vs Bryson Reyes | R+5.4 | 69% R | Lean R | R |
| 83 | Dave Maxey (Uncontested) | R+47.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 84 | Chuck Wichgers (Uncontested) | R+47.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 85 | John Kroll vs Patrick Snyder | D+0.2 | 50% D | Tossup | R |
| 86 | Andy Wuethrich vs John Spiros | R+16.1 | 93% R | Likely R | R |
| 87 | Bob Look vs Brent Jacobson | R+15.0 | 92% R | Likely R | R |
| 88 | Brandy Tollefson vs Benjamin Franklin | D+3.0 | 60% D | Tossup | R |
| 89 | Ryan Spaude vs Bobby Lindsey | D+9.8 | 80% D | Likely D | D |
| 90 | Amaad Rivera-Wagner vs Jessica Henderson | R+0.0 | 51% R | Tossup | D |
| 91 | Jodi Emerson vs Bruce Stabenow | R+0.0 | 51% R | Tossup | D |
| 92 | Jeremiah Fredrickson vs Clint Moses | R+0.3 | 52% R | Tossup | R |
| 93 | Christian Phelps vs Michael Ayala | D+11.2 | 83% D | Likely D | D |
| 94 | Steve Doyle vs Keith Purnell | D+9.7 | 80% D | Lean D | D |
| 95 | Jill Billings vs Cedric Schnitzler | R+1.7 | 56% R | Tossup | D |
| 96 | Tara Johnson vs Jim Green | D+11.1 | 84% D | Likely D | D |
| 97 | Cindi Duchow (Uncontested) | R+47.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 98 | Matt Philibert vs Jim Piwowarczyk | R+20.7 | 97% R | Safe R | R |
| 99 | Barbara Dittrich (Uncontested) | R+47.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| District | Candidates | Margin | Win Prob | Rating | Inc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katie Baney (Uncontested) | R+47.0 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 3 | Tim Carpenter vs Angelina Galicia | D+19.5 | 96% D | Safe D | D |
| 5 | Robyn Vining vs Mike Roberts | R+1.1 | 55% R | Tossup | R |
| 7 | Chris Larson vs Mike Moeller | D+17.7 | 94% D | Likely D | D |
| 9 | Amy Binsfeld (Uncontested) | R+47.0 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 11 | Steven Doelder vs Nick Polce | R+19.8 | 96% R | Safe R | R |
| 13 | Sasha Ripley vs John Jagler | R+22.0 | 98% R | Safe R | R |
| 15 | Mark Spreitzer vs Scott Fleming | D+8.4 | 77% D | Lean D | D |
| 17 | Corrine Hendrickson vs Howard Marklein | R+4.5 | 66% R | Lean R | R |
| 19 | Emily Tseffos vs Rachael Cabral-Guevara | R+18.1 | 95% R | Safe R | R |
| 21 | Trevor Jung vs Jim Croft | R+2.5 | 59% R | Tossup | R |
| 23 | Jeff Foster vs Romaine Quinn | R+25.5 | 99% R | Safe R | R |
| 25 | Charly Ray vs Angie Sapik | R+10.7 | 84% R | Likely R | R |
| 27 | Dianne Hesselbein (Uncontested) | D+43.0 | 99% D | Safe D | D |
| 29 | Gillian Battino vs Cory Tomczyk | R+16.3 | 93% R | Likely R | R |
| 31 | Jeff Smith vs Michele Magadance Skinner | D+6.0 | 70% D | Lean D | D |
| 33 | Mike Van Someren vs Chris Kapenga | R+23.5 | 98% R | Safe R | R |